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NATURES SUNSHINE PRODUCTS INC (NATR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue grew 4% to $114.8M (2% constant currency), driven by strength in Japan, Central Europe, and accelerating North America digital, while gross margin held at 71.7% .
- GAAP diluted EPS was $0.28 and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.35; both exceeded S&P Global consensus EPS of $0.16, while revenue of $114.8M surpassed consensus of $112.3M; full-year guidance was raised for both revenue ($460–$475M from $445–$470M) and adjusted EBITDA ($41–$45M from $38–$44M) .
- Adjusted EBITDA increased 8% to $11.3M despite higher SG&A (38.1% of sales), supported by lower volume incentives and FX gains; balance sheet remains strong with $81.3M cash and zero debt .
- Stock-relevant narrative: a guidance raise, 34% YoY digital growth, and Subscribe & Thrive autoship reaching >50% of DTC (53% per CFO) position North America as a re-accelerating growth driver into H2, while APAC faces tough comps; management expects modest GM improvement despite tariff volatility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- North America digital grew 34% YoY, with Subscribe & Thrive autoship reaching 53% of DTC revenue; management added ~$1M of incremental digital media spend given strong returns .
- APAC delivered 5% reported growth, led by Japan’s 27% local-currency growth and stabilization in China; Central Europe reported robust growth and disciplined execution .
- Company raised FY25 guidance for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, citing improved momentum and visibility; adjusted EBITDA grew 8% YoY in Q2 .
What Went Wrong
- SG&A increased to $43.7M (38.1% of sales) on timing of compensation, incremental digital marketing, and non-recurring expenses, pressuring operating income to $4.3M (3.7% margin) .
- APAC growth moderated in Taiwan and Korea due to macro headwinds, with management signaling low-to-mid single-digit growth for APAC in H2 amid tough comps .
- Mix and FX headwinds muted gross margin expansion; inventory rose to $69.3M to pre-empt tariff/supply chain risks, impacting working capital .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Key Ratios
Segment Net Sales
KPIs
Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Q2 2025)
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
Highlights: Revenue beat (+$2.5M, +2.2%); EPS beat on both GAAP and adjusted; S&P’s EBITDA actual (definition differs) is below consensus, but company’s Adjusted EBITDA exceeded prior year and aligns with raised guidance .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered another strong quarter, with net sales of $115 million and adjusted EBITDA of $11 million, up 4% and 8%, respectively, year-over-year.” — Terrence Moorehead, CEO .
- “We now expect full-year revenue of $460–$475 million… For Adjusted EBITDA, we are now guiding to $41–$45 million… assumes gross margin will be modestly higher in Q3 and Q4, and that quarterly SG&A will be $41–$42 million.” — Shane Jones, CFO .
- “Digital grew 34%… Subscribe and Thrive… now constitutes 53% of DTC revenue.” — Shane Jones, CFO .
- “Marine Glow… launched just over a month ago… beating our expectations.” — Shane Jones, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance Range Drivers: Digital acceleration determines reaching top end vs mid/lower end; APAC comps (Taiwan, Korea) drive variability .
- Incremental Digital Investment: ~$1M extra Q2 digital media spend with strong payback; intent to invest more if returns persist .
- Gross Margin Outlook: Modest improvement in H2 as FX headwinds abate and pricing/sourcing initiatives flow through; mix remains a headwind if NA outgrows APAC .
- Capacity/Co-manufacturing: Throughput efficiency improvements create capacity headroom; early-stage third-party opportunities under review .
- North America Core: Improved activation via touch management, staffing changes, stronger sales support; continued acceleration expected .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $114.8M vs $112.3M*; Primary EPS GAAP $0.28 and adjusted $0.35 vs $0.16*; EBITDA company Adjusted $11.3M vs S&P EBITDA estimate $9.84M* (note definition differences) .
- H2 models likely revise upward on revenue/EPS given guidance raise and digital momentum; watch EBITDA definitions in sell-side models versus company’s adjusted presentation .
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance raise is a clear positive catalyst; company is executing with balanced growth, cost control, and targeted digital investment, while maintaining a net-cash, zero-debt balance sheet .
- North America has turned the corner: 34% digital growth, autoship >50% of DTC, and improved core activation support sustained mid-single-digit regional growth in H2 .
- APAC strength remains anchored by Japan; expect moderated growth due to tough comps; stabilization in China reduces downside risk .
- Gross margin trajectory modestly up in H2 as FX headwinds ease and sourcing/pricing initiatives mature; mix could cap upside if NA outpaces APAC .
- Adjusted EBITDA growth (+8% YoY) alongside higher SG&A reflects disciplined spend in high-ROI digital; management will flex investment based on returns .
- Inventory build and supply-chain actions mitigate tariff risk; any tariff-driven shocks likely near-term and manageable given proactive stance .
- Near-term trading: favor on guidance raise and EPS beat; medium-term thesis: digital-led transformation, recurring autoship, CE expansion, and product innovation (Marine Glow, Power Line) underpin sustainable growth .